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時間:2022-08-15 來源:本站 點擊:258次
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华商连线******

  俄乌首轮谈判结束,因为双方价码过高谈崩。如果和谈一直没有结果,俄乌战争会如何收场?除了提供武器,美国和北约还会使用什么方式阻挠俄乌和谈?3月1日,华商报记者连线知名军事专家、前总参谋部上校岳刚进行解读。

  俄乌和谈首轮谈崩

  因乌克兰看到了俄罗斯的软肋

  华商报:俄乌首轮谈判结束,您怎么看此次的俄乌谈判?

  岳刚:经过几次博弈,俄罗斯和乌克兰终于坐下来进行了第一轮谈判,谈判持续五个小时。俄乌首轮谈崩,因为双方价码过高。俄罗斯仍然坚持之前的三个主要条件,承认俄罗斯对克里米亚的主权,乌克兰去军事化、去纳粹化,并确保其中立地位。而乌克兰也比预想中更强硬,要求俄罗斯撤军停火,还要把克里米亚吐出来,这就说明俄乌双方的谈判差距特别远,所以很难达成一致的协议。

  华商报:俄军围城,乌克兰在谈判中仍显示强硬,它手里还有什么筹码?

  岳刚:乌克兰之所以比预想中要强硬,我觉得是因为俄罗斯之前的首轮打击没有威慑到乌克兰。俄罗斯不想把这次特别军事行动上升为战争,只是摧毁指挥所、防空导弹基地和机场,投入的兵力也比较少,因为俄罗斯不愿有太多的伤亡,才给乌克兰留下讨价还价的余地。而乌克兰就是看到了俄罗斯的这个软肋,才会在谈判桌上表现得很强硬。

  华商报:如果和谈一直没有结果,俄乌战争会如何收场?

  岳刚:俄乌之战最后会如何收场,一种是谈判,第二种就是一方战败,签投降书。但从现在看,和谈的可能性还是比较大的,以打促和、以打促谈,最后签字画押。这个过程中就是要看双方的博弈程度,俄罗斯前期的军事战略低估了乌克兰的抵抗意识。2014年的克里米亚事件中,乌克兰军队直接缴械投降,俄罗斯不放一枪一弹就收回了克里米亚。这次俄罗斯的阵仗虽然很大,导弹炮弹不断发射,但是怕有太大伤亡,本来可以速战速决却打成了消耗战,乌克兰政府才有了筹码。再加上源源不断的西方国家支援,乌克兰腰杆越来越硬,这对俄罗斯是非常不利的。如今俄罗斯开始增加兵力,加大军事打击力度,让乌克兰没有资格再讨价还价,最终才能在谈判桌上达成一致。但这中间还需要多轮战场博弈,才能通过和谈结束这场武装冲突。

  美国拱火“一箭四雕”

  美国北约间接方式军事介入

  华商报:俄乌之战持续胶着,除了提供武器,美国和北约还会使用什么方式阻挠俄乌和谈?

  岳刚:俄乌之战符合美国的意图,美国可谓是“一箭四雕”,一是可以消耗俄罗斯,二是“绑架”乌克兰到美国战车上,三是可以控制欧洲,四是可以转嫁美国的国内矛盾。所以,俄乌尽快和谈结束战争是不符合美国的意图的,美国要千方百计地阻挠,包括不断给乌克兰军事援助、赠送武器,组织其他北约成员国用各种办法来武装乌克兰等。如今,美国和北约采取间接方式军事介入,甚至派出了国际战队,提供攻击性武器。实际上欧盟就是北约的白手套,借助欧盟,北约实际上达到了间接参战的目的。

  华商报:从空袭到巷战,俄乌之战有何特点?

  岳刚:俄乌之战遵循混合战争理论,这个理论最早是美国人提出的,说现代战争是一种多元化的较量,除了军事手段,还要使用非军事手段。经过收回克里米亚,再加上之后在叙利亚战场上广泛应用,俄罗斯对混合战争这个理论应该是驾轻就熟了。非军事的手段包括宣传战、舆论战、心理战、信息战,交替综合使用军事和非军事手段,力求以最小的成本获取最大的回报。开战头一天,俄罗斯的打击效果还是不错的,但因不愿造成伤亡,只是摧毁物质基础,对方的心理防线没有被打垮,首轮打击投鼠忌器,效果打成夹生饭,雷声大雨点小。乌克兰一旦缓过劲,反而还越来越强硬。华商报记者 郭霁


来源:华商网-华商报

编辑:杨蓓蕾

China's energy consumption growth slows in Q3******

BEIJING, Nov. 8 (Xinhua) -- China recorded slower energy consumption growth in the third quarter amid efforts to build a clean and low-carbon energy consumption structure, the National Energy Administration said Monday.。

The year-on-year growth of energy consumption in the third quarter dropped 14.3 percentage points from the first quarter and 4.7 percentage points from the second quarter, partly due to remarkable energy use drops in the energy-intensive industries.。

Of the total, coal consumption growth in the third quarter shrank 13.1 percentage points from the first quarter and 2.8 percentage points from the second.。

The clean energy sector has been expanding in the third quarter.。

By the end of September, the installed capacity of hydropower, nuclear power, wind power and solar power totaled 1.01 billion kw, accounting for 44.1 percent of the total installed capacity, up 3 percentage points from the same period last year.。

In view of the goals of peaking its carbon dioxide emissions before 2030 and achieving carbon neutrality before 2060, China is speeding up the transformation to a clean and low-carbon energy consumption structure. Enditem。

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均价6701.35元/平方米!西安334套经适房公开摇号******

\

  2月11日,西安正尚·盛世家合经济适用住房项目摇号现场。记者 谢伟 摄

  本报讯 (首席记者 梁璠)2月11日14时30分,西安正尚·盛世家合8#、10#楼经济适用住房项目摇号仪式举行。本次摇号提供房源334套,657户符合购买条件的家庭参加摇号。

  据了解,正尚·盛世家合经济适用住房项目,位于西安市未央区太华北路西侧。本次提供8#、10#楼经济适用住房334套,销售均价为:6701.35元/平方米。为体现公平、公开、公正的原则,整个摇号过程由西安市公证处工作人员现场公证,在西安市住房保障部门、未央区住房保障部门、新闻媒体以及购房人代表现场监督下进行。

  现场摇号活动采取电脑摇号方式进行,使用的电脑设备及摇号软件均由西安市公证处提供。所有参加本次摇号的购房人,将通过电脑摇号系统,一次性摇出所有购房人选房顺序号,并按照顺序号依次进行选房。摇号结果将在西安市司法局官方网站西安市公证处栏进行公示。同时,在西安市住房和城乡建设局官网及微信公众号“西安住建”公布。

  据悉,该项目选房时间定于2月15日至2月16日,选房地点为正尚·盛世家合项目客服部(西安市未央区太华北路与凤城五路十字西北角),西安保障性住房管理中心将安排工作人员对选房工作进行监督,确保选房工作公开透明。



来源:西安晚报

编辑:张佳萌

Trump sues House committee investigating riot on Capitol Hill******

Former US President Donald Trump on Monday sued the US congressional committee investigating the January 6 riot at the Capitol, claiming members made an illegal request for his White House records.

Trump, in a lawsuit filed in the US District Court for the District of Columbia, asserted that materials sought by the House of Representatives committee are covered by a legal doctrine known as executive privilege, which protects the confidentiality of some White House communications.

"The Committee's requests are unprecedented in their breadth and scope and are untethered from any legitimate legislative purpose," Trump's lawyer, Jesse Binnall, wrote in the lawsuit.

Committee members Liz Cheney, a Republican from Wyoming, and Bennie Thompson, a Democrat from Mississippi, said in a written statement issued in response to Trump's lawsuit that the former president was seeking to "delay and obstruct" their investigation.

"It's hard to imagine a more compelling public interest than trying to get answers about an attack on our democracy and an attempt to overturn the results of an election," Cheney and Thompson said in the statement.

Hundreds of Trump supporters stormed the seat of Congress on January 6 in a failed bid to prevent lawmakers from certifying Democratic President Joe Biden's election victory. More than 600 people face criminal charges stemming from the event.

Trump was impeached by the Democratic-led House on a charge of inciting the attack on the Capitol in a fiery speech at a rally earlier that day. He was acquitted by the Senate.

Biden earlier this month authorized the National Archives to turn over an initial batch of documents requested by the select committee. The Archives has said it would turn over the requested material next month, according to Trump's lawsuit, which seeks an injunction halting that process.

Michael Stern, a former congressional lawyer, said Trump's strategy may be to use litigation to stall the select committee's work.

"If he is willing to pay for the lawyers, Trump could delay the production of records for some time," Stern said.

The January 6 committee has also issued subpoenas demanding testimony from Trump advisers, including political strategist Steve Bannon, who has refused to testify until Trump's assertion of executive privilege has been resolved by a court or through negotiations with the committee.

The committee has subpoenaed other officials including former Justice Department official Jeffrey Clark, Trump former chief of staff Mark Meadows, deputy chief of staff Dan Scavino and former Defense Department official Kash Patel.

(Agencies)

北京市累计1083.87万人接种新冠疫苗

1.桃子、西瓜不能一起吃,会中毒?真相来了

2.佩洛西窜访台湾 中国驻新加坡大使发声

3.FBI对特朗普调查结果不断公开 美共和党有人口风变了

4.习近平强调,“中国好人”最可贵的地方就是在平凡工作中创造不平凡的业绩

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